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Indiana as a toss-up state: Night and Day

by: Thomas

Sun Nov 02, 2008 at 19:30:56 PM EST


All apologies for the light posting today. As it turns out, the first year of law school is not especially designed with blogging and election years in mind, even for a slacker like myself.

Time's online outfit takes a look at Indiana's development into a hotbed for presidential politics, and although it won't be anything new to any of you, I'd recommend it for anyone who hasn't been playing particularly close attention for the last few months. That being said, their descriptions of the two campaigns is a useful reminder of the fundamental difference between Barack Obama's approach to this election year and that of the rusted, outdated Republican machine.

The Obama campaign has opened 44 offices across Indiana, including two in Elkhart County, a historically Republican-leaning county just to the north of here. "Two years ago, I would have told you that'd be crazy," says Shari Mellin, the county's Democratic Party chair. Now Obama-Biden signs have become fixtures along two-lane country roads abutting cornfields. Meanwhile, the Obama campaign has been credited with registering many of Indiana's new would-be voters. Already, some 410,000 Indianans have cast votes. Indiana's secretary of state, Ted Rokita, projects some 65% of the state's 4.5 million voters will participate in this election - the highest since 1992.

[...]

McCain's campaign here, by contrast, is notably weak, a sign of how the GOP has long taken Indiana for granted. It hasn't opened a single campaign office, and the Indiana Republican Party's local offices are managing McCain's outreach efforts.

The problem with McCain's supposed reliance upon the local GOP machine is the simple fact that although Mitch Daniels supports him privately, he long ago cashed in the national Republican narrative and bought himself a rhetorical ticket to the "change" party. The strategy was as bizarre as it has been effective, and I find it incredibly difficult to believe that Mitch's targeted Election Day constituency is even all that similar to McCain's at this point.

Luckily for him, he hasn't had to push all that hard to get out the vote. In a lot of ways, a more competitive Democratic candidate would have placed pressure on Mitch to choose sides in the national back-and-forth, but his ability to disengage entirely has allowed him to keep his conservative credentials without touching the plague that is McCain/Palin '08.

Thomas :: Indiana as a toss-up state: Night and Day
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my feeling (0.00 / 0)
I am not a pollster but my gut just tells me that Obama is going to narrowly carry Indiana.  I want so much to live in a blue state for four years.  It has been a long time in a statewide race in Indiana that I have seen the energy, organization and unity that I see among Indiana Democrats now....and lots of repubs and independents also.

Yes We Can! (4.00 / 1)
Please let Indiana go blue ... PLEASE!

[ Parent ]
Indianans? (0.00 / 0)
What the hell.  I mean seriously, the only people who refer to residents of Indiana as "Indianans" are people who have never been to this state.


Hoosier Progressive

Ohh!!!! (0.00 / 0)
I know!  I hate that crap.  Haven't they ever seen Hoosiers?    

[ Parent ]
Election Day visit (4.00 / 2)
The Star reports that Obama will make a visit to the Indy area on Tuesday, but the campaign is not releasing the when/where information because they don't want to disrupt voting.

I think their hope is that their supporters turn out hoping that Obama stops in their precinct.  Very smart move.

Hoosier Progressive


If I were him... (4.00 / 1)
...I would show up early in the morning. Vote in Chicago -- I assume he will do this? -- and then swing through Indianapolis around 8 or 9am. You don't cause much of a stir, but the local media for the rest of the day is mentioning you, not McCain's visit from Monday.

[ Parent ]
Here's a suggestion... (4.00 / 1)
He should go to Hamilton County and just drive his motorcade around all day.  You know why. ;)

Hoosier Progressive

[ Parent ]
actually (0.00 / 0)
There is a chance that he will carry Hamilton County......if not,  it will be a narrow loss rather than the usual 50,000 to 75,000 vote majority for the repubs.

[ Parent ]
The discrepancy between the presidential... (4.00 / 1)
...vote total and the gubernatorial one will be absurd. (A testament to Obama's campaign, much more so than Mitch's.)

[ Parent ]

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